🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 56% Map 1 Winner 55% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 52% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 52% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $80K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner56%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Match Winner51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: legacy vs parivision (bo3) - esl pro league group stage stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Legacy and PARIVISION in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro… on Who Will Win 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →