Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
TYLOO meet paiN in a best-of-three at the CS Asia Championships Group A lower-bracket semifinal, with the market implying just 20% for TYLOO and a clear consensus lean towards paiN. That pricing frames TYLOO as a sizeable underdog, so the value question is less about whether TYLOO can win a map and more about whether the market has over-penalised them in a local event where venue and travel factors can matter. In comparable CS2 brackets, home-region teams often draw shorter prices than their raw global ranking would suggest, but that edge can disappear quickly if the underdog has already shown weaker fundamentals across the opening stage.
The key catalysts are bracket integrity and match timing. Liquipedia’s match listings and recent event coverage indicate this is a live upper/lower-bracket sequence in Shanghai, with TYLOO’s opponent dependent on the earlier BC.Game/paiN result, so any late schedule shift or admin ruling could alter prep and map veto dynamics. The market remains sensitive to whether paiN arrive after a full day’s recovery or from a compressed turnaround, and whether TYLOO can use familiarity with the venue to force a close veto. The consensus is that paiN should be favoured on overall team strength; the contrarian angle is that TYLOO’s path to value sits in a shorter, more volatile BO3 where one strong map pick or a fast start can upset a probability line still anchored near one-in-five.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Champi… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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