Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group C

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

ex-Zero Tenacity and SAW meet in a Counter-Strike best-of-three elimination match within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #3 Group C bracket, scheduled for 22 May at 10:00 AM ET. The current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for ex-Zero Tenacity, suggesting near-total consensus backing SAW as the stronger outfit. This extreme skew warrants scrutiny, particularly given the volatility typical of regional qualifier tournaments where roster changes, recent form shifts, and map pool mismatches frequently upend conventional hierarchies.

ex-Zero Tenacity has operated as a mid-tier European squad with inconsistent LAN results, whilst SAW has established itself as a more stable regional competitor with stronger recent placements in CCT events. However, the 0% probability assigned to ex-Zero Tenacity reflects an unusually confident market assessment for a best-of-three format where single-map upsets can cascade into series reversals. Historical CCT Europe qualifiers have demonstrated that teams ranked lower in the consensus often possess niche map strengths or exploit preparation advantages in closed-qualifier settings where scouting is limited.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any late-stage lineup adjustments through 22 May, as qualifier tournaments frequently experience last-minute changes that reshape matchup dynamics. Recent CCT Europe results indicate SAW's consistency, yet the absence of any probability mass for ex-Zero Tenacity suggests the market may be overweighting SAW's favouritism without accounting for the inherent variance in best-of-three play. Map pool compatibility and recent scrim results, if leaked, could shift positioning materially before the settlement window closes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.