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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Match Result (1x2)

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Match Result (1x2)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Draw 100% Team Falcons 0% BetBoom Team 0% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $24K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Match Result (1x2)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
Team Falcons0%
BetBoom Team0%

Market context

Team Falcons and BetBoom Team face off in a best-of-two Dota 2 series at BLAST SLAM VII on 7 July 2026, where a 1–1 draw or cancellation resolves the market to "Yes". The crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for "Yes", reflecting near-total consensus that the series will end decisively. Historically, these sides rarely split games in recent encounters: BetBoom defeated Falcons 2–0 in the UB Semi Final at BLAST SLAM VII on 5 June 2026[1], though Falcons won a prior match at FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 in April 2026[2]. Their head-to-head record shows mixed results, with BetBoom holding a slight edge in 2026, including a 2–0 win in February and a 1–2 loss in April[8]. Given this volatility, the 0% "Yes" price may overlook the risk of a drawn series, especially if both teams adapt mid-match.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for schedule changes, player availability, or potential postponements, as any cancellation would trigger a "Yes" resolution. Recent coverage from BLAST.tv confirms the match is scheduled for 5:00 AM ET with no indication of delay[1]. However, Dota 2 tournaments have faced disruptions due to technical issues or roster changes in past events, making real-time updates critical. The value spot likely lies in the contrarian angle: while the market assumes a clean 2–0 or 0–2 finish, Falcons’ ability to win single games suggests a 1–1 draw is plausible, particularly if BetBoom underperforms in the second game. With the settlement window ending 15:00 UTC on 7 July, any late news could shift the implied probability significantly.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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