LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a Best-of-3 match scheduled for 7:00 AM ET today. The crowd-implied probability sits at 73% YES for Anyone’s Legend, aligning closely with Strafe users who predict an AG.AL win with 72.9% of votes [3]. Historical data shows both teams hold identical 60% winrates against each other, yet the market heavily favours the Asian side, suggesting a consensus that KC’s recent 1-0 loss to Gen.G in the EWC groups may have exposed vulnerabilities against top-tier opponents [2][4]. In comparable EWC knockout scenarios, teams with lower recent map-harvesting against elite foes often underperform their pre-match odds, creating a potential contrarian angle on Karmine Corp if their early-game pressure falters.

Traders should monitor the live map handicap and any roster announcements before the match begins, as KC’s performance hinges on adapting their mid-lane strategy after the Gen.G setback. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 17 July, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days [1]. Recent coverage from bo3.gg confirms the match is live with AG.AL leading 2-0 in maps, indicating the market’s 73% probability may already be pricing in a near-certain victory, leaving little value on the favourite [1]. The key catalyst is whether KC can force a third map; if they fail, the implied probability will likely surge toward 90%+, erasing any underdog value.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.