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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $483K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
First Blood in Game 1?58%
First Blood in Game 2?58%
Match Winner57%
Game 2 Winner55%
Game 1 Winner54%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)32%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

Market consensus: 72% chance of lol: anyone's legend vs top esports (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 19 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "A…

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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