LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Dplus KIA face BNK FEARX in a League of Legends Champions Korea best-of-three fixture scheduled for 23 May 2026 at 04:00 ET. The market currently prices Dplus KIA at 65% implied probability, reflecting their status as the favoured side. This is the opening round of the LCK's spring split second cycle, where seeding and momentum carry material weight for teams eyeing playoff positioning.

Dplus KIA's recent form and roster stability provide the foundation for their favouritism. The organisation has maintained core personnel through the off-season and demonstrated consistent performance in comparable LCK fixtures. BNK FEARX, by contrast, operate with less established track record at this level; their competitive history against top-tier LCK sides shows a pattern of inconsistency that justifies the 35% underdog pricing. Historical matchups between organisations of differing infrastructure depth typically align with the current consensus.

The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 23 May, leaving a seven-day buffer for fixture delays or administrative complications. Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding any schedule adjustments, player availability issues, or technical disruptions that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Recent LCK communications have confirmed fixture stability for this cycle, though regional internet infrastructure remains a minor dependency. The current 65-35 split leaves modest value for contrarian backing of BNK FEARX should new information emerge regarding Dplus KIA's preparation or roster changes in the final week before play.

Methodology

We track LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.