LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers face KT Rolster in a single-game KeSPA Cup Group Stage clash that has already concluded on the scheduled date, with the market showing a 0% implied probability for a SOOPers victory. Strafe users overwhelmingly backed KT Rolster with 95.2% of votes, while neo.bet lists KT at a heavy 1.11 price against SOOPers at 5.75, reflecting a consensus that treats the underdog as virtually non-existent [1][3].

Historical head-to-head data complicates a blind fade of the underdog, as DN SOOPers secured a decisive 2-0 sweep over KT Rolster in the 2026 LCK Cup, proving they can dominate this specific opponent despite KT’s general superiority in longer series [2]. In a BO1 format, draft execution and early objective control often override seasonal rankings, creating a contrarian angle where the 0% price ignores the recent 2-0 evidence that suggests value could exist on SOOPers if the market has not fully adjusted to that specific result.

Traders should monitor the official settlement status given the match date of July 20 and the current date of July 21, as a cancellation or forfeiture would trigger a 50-50 resolution rather than a standard win [2]. With both squads positioned in the mid-to-lower table and limited preparation time, individual performance volatility remains the primary catalyst, meaning any late roster announcements or in-game forfeiture reports could drastically shift the outcome from the current near-zero probability [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.