Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
JD Gaming meet Anyone’s Legend in a best-of-five Upper Bracket final for the Esports World Cup China qualifier phase 2, and the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for JDG is effectively a mispriced placeholder rather than a true market view. The live consensus in the search results points the other way: JD Gaming are listed as the match winner at 1.335 on BO3.gg, with Anyone’s Legend’s map handicap priced much longer, which implies JDG are a clear favourite. Recent comparable results also lean JDG’s way, with RFT.GG showing JD Gaming beating Anyone’s Legend 2-0 in October 2026 and 3-2 in February 2026, so the handicapper’s baseline is that JDG have already solved this pairing more often than not. In that framing, the value is not on a broad upset narrative, but on whether Anyone’s Legend can force maps and make a 3-1 or 3-2 outcome more live than the market suggests.
The main catalysts are confirmation of the actual start time, any last-minute roster or substitution news, and whether this stays on the published Bo5 schedule without delay. Liquipedia and Sheep Esports both list the China qualifier bracket path and indicate this is an upcoming JD Gaming v Anyone’s Legend series, while GosuGamers places JDG at world rank 7 and AL at rank 5, which keeps this from being a simple ranking mismatch. Traders should also watch whether recent head-to-heads are being over-weighted: BO3.gg’s handicap pricing suggests JDG only need to protect the series edge, whereas Anyone’s Legend can still cover value if they repeat the cleaner map wins they have shown in other qualifier matches. If the match is played as scheduled, the market should resolve on the series winner; any significant postponement beyond the settlement window would shift attention to the market’s contingency rules.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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