Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
NRG Esports face CCG Esports in an upper bracket semifinal of the North American Challengers League playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 22 May at 4:00 PM ET. The current market pricing at 0% YES reflects an extreme consensus favouring NRG, though the settlement window extends to 23 May at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly 22 hours for the match to conclude. This is the Challengers League tier, the secondary professional circuit beneath the LCS, where roster stability and recent form carry outsized weight given smaller sample sizes and less consistent sponsorship backing.
Historical precedent in Challengers League playoffs shows that upper bracket semifinals frequently feature significant skill gaps between teams, particularly when one organisation has sustained investment and infrastructure advantages. NRG's presence in this tier suggests either a recent rebuild or a developmental pathway, but the organisation's established brand and resources typically translate to measurable advantages in coaching depth, scrim access, and player experience. CCG Esports' participation indicates competitive qualification, yet the 0% market price suggests traders view this as a heavily one-sided matchup rather than a genuine contest.
The key dependency is match completion within the seven-day window. Cancellations, technical delays, or incomplete series would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk that currently appears unpriced. Monitor official LCS/Challengers League announcements for any scheduling changes or roster substitutions in the 48 hours before the match, as emergency roster moves occasionally occur in secondary leagues. Recent Challengers League coverage from esports.gg and Dot Esports would provide current team standings and player availability updates closer to the event date.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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