Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 24% YES | 77% NO |
| Torino FC (-1.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Juventus FC (-1.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Torino FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Juventus FC (-2.5) | 11% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Torino and Juventus meet in Turin on 24 May 2026 in a late-season Serie A fixture. The current crowd-implied probability sits at 100% YES, suggesting near-certainty that additional markets will be offered for this match. This reflects standard practice for high-profile derbies in Italy's top division, where bookmakers and prediction platforms typically expand their market offerings beyond the core match result, over/under, and both-teams-to-score options.
Historical precedent shows that Torino–Juventus encounters consistently attract supplementary markets. Past editions have included player-specific bets, corner counts, card accumulations, and goal-timing markets. The May timing matters: late-season fixtures often carry heightened commercial attention, particularly when either side remains in contention for European qualification or is fighting relegation. Juventus's structural dominance in Serie A over the past decade has made these derbies predictable in terms of market depth, though Torino's occasional competitive runs have occasionally shifted trader focus.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury bulletins in the fortnight preceding the match, as absences of key players can shift the shape of available markets. Juventus's Champions League or Coppa Italia commitments in May could influence squad rotation decisions. Torino's final league position and any remaining objectives will signal whether the club fields a full-strength side. Settlement window closure on 24 May at 13:00 UTC allows roughly four hours post-kickoff for market resolution, standard for European football fixtures. Confirmation of market expansion typically arrives 7–10 days before the match.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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