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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Live odds for "League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $206K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
BLG32%
HLE26%
T113%
GEN12%
KC12%
WE10%
DCG6%
TLAW5%
LYON4%
NIP3%
G21%
TES1%
JDG1%
DK1%
AL0%
KT0%
FLY0%
WBG0%
TSW0%
CFO0%
C90%
MKOI0%
IG0%
GAM0%
BFX0%

Market context

The betting angle is a race for the top of Riot’s **Global Power Rankings** after Worlds 2026, with the market currently pricing a **26%** chance that the eventual No 1 lands on the listed “YES” outcome. In handicapper terms, that puts the favourite cluster in the high-20s to low-30s, but it is still a thin, crowded board rather than a single dominant price.

Historically, these rankings have been built on an Elo-style system that weights team strength and regional strength, so the market tends to be decided by international results more than domestic win-loss records.[6] Right now, the public consensus is that the front pack is tightly bunched: HLE is shown as the market leader at 29%, with BLG at 26%, GEN at 22% and T1 at 20%.[4] That spread suggests the value debate is less about spotting a runaway favourite and more about whether the crowd is overpaying for the current No 1 and underestimating a Worlds run from one of the close pursuers. Comparable ranking systems have also shown how quickly a single event can reshuffle the order, which is why the sub-30% price is understandable even with a clear leader.[6]

For traders, the main catalysts are the post-Worlds updates to the official ranking table and the path each contender takes through 2026’s international events, because those results feed the points/Elo model directly.[1][6] The resolution source is the official LoL Esports Global Power Rankings page, and the market can also rely on credible reporting if needed.[4] The practical watchlist is simple: bracket seeding, World Championship form, and any late-season ranking releases that could separate a narrow top quartet; if one of the current leaders exits Worlds early, the implied probability on that team can compress fast, while a deep run from a chaser is the clearest contrarian angle.[4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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