# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s next upload will be measured by how many views it has after seven days. With the market marked at 0% Yes, the crowd is effectively pricing the top end as the underdog and treating a lower bracket as the base case. That is hard to square with his recent run: his main-channel uploads regularly clear tens of millions in week one, and the last few flagship videos have often pushed beyond the 60m area. Comparable markets on his day-one view count have also leaned heavily towards the highest bracket; one recent Polymarket board had 35–40m at 100% for first-day views, while a Lines market put 30–35m as the frontrunner. On that framing, the value looks more likely to sit with higher week-one bands than with the market’s current zeroed-out view.

The key variables are timing and scale rather than whether the channel still has reach. Watch for a new main-channel upload date, thumbnail/title changes, and whether the video is a broad-appeal challenge or a narrower format, as those choices drive retention and recommendation velocity. MrBeast’s uploads are often spaced irregularly, so a later-than-expected post can matter more than usual, especially with the settlement window ending on 31 May and the back-stop of 30 June if no video appears. Recent channel activity shows the account still drawing huge numbers: “Survive 30 Days On An Island With Your Ex, Win $250,000” was on 54m views after three days, and “I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000” had 107m after two days. That keeps the favourite side anchored in the higher brackets unless the next upload is delayed or unusually niche.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

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