Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Solana is trading in the high-$80s, and the market is pricing the noon ET Binance close as a clear underdog to finish above the main round-number brackets. The current crowd-implied probability is 0% YES, which leaves consensus heavily skewed to a sub-threshold outcome and makes any move into a higher range a pure contrarian call. Recent reference points suggest the coin has been stable but still below its earlier spring highs: YCharts shows SOL at 86.01 on 21 May and 87.15 on 22 May, while historical data from Investing.com and Binance sit broadly in the same neighbourhood. Comparable market pricing on Polymarket and Lines.com has repeatedly clustered around the $80-$90 band for nearby dates, so the handicap is less about a dramatic trend break and more about whether spot can hold or lift modestly into the settlement window.
For traders, the key inputs are the final spot tape on Binance, broader crypto risk appetite, and whether SOL can absorb late-session volatility without slipping back through the mid-$80s. There is no obvious protocol-specific catalyst in the supplied news flow, so the main drivers are likely Bitcoin direction, weekend positioning, and any sudden exchange or macro headline before the 16:00 UTC cut-off. Changelly’s short-term forecast has SOL near $86-$89 over the next few days, which broadly matches the live market level and reinforces the favourite status of a modest close rather than a breakout. If price firms from here, the value angle is a move into the next bracket; if it fades, the consensus lower band remains the safer read.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Solana price on May 22? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →