Solana price on May 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market resolves on the Binance SOL/USDT pair's closing price at noon ET on 23 May 2026, using the 1-minute candle data. The crowd is pricing this at 0% YES, suggesting either extreme confidence in a particular price range or minimal trading activity on this specific settlement window.

Solana's historical volatility makes single-point price predictions inherently difficult to calibrate. Over the past two years, SOL has experienced intraday swings exceeding 10% during periods of network stress or broader crypto market turbulence, whilst calmer periods have seen tighter ranges. The 0% probability reading is unusual for a binary market on a major asset; it typically reflects either that traders believe the YES bracket sits well above or below realistic price expectations, or that liquidity remains sparse enough that the market hasn't attracted substantive positioning. Comparable Solana price-point markets from previous years show that consensus tends to cluster around technical support and resistance levels rather than arbitrary price bands.

Key variables between now and May 2026 include Solana's network stability—particularly any major outages or performance upgrades—and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum movements. Regulatory developments affecting staking rewards or validator economics could shift medium-term price expectations. Traders should monitor Solana Foundation announcements regarding protocol upgrades and watch for any material changes in transaction throughput or validator participation rates, as these have historically influenced price discovery. The extended settlement window means macro factors—Federal Reserve policy, institutional adoption trends, and competing Layer 1 performance claims—will likely dominate price direction more than short-term technical signals.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.