Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Taylor Pendrith | 48% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 46% |
| Blades Brown | 43% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 43% |
| Benjamin James | 42% |
| Rico Hoey | 41% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 38% |
| Beau Hossler | 37% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 37% |
| Kevin Yu | 35% |
| Max McGreevy | 34% |
| Zach Bauchou | 33% |
| Taylor Moore | 33% |
| Ugo Coussaud | 32% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 31% |
| Austin Eckroat | 31% |
| Kevin Roy | 31% |
| Chan Kim | 28% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 28% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 28% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 27% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 27% |
| Garrick Higgo | 27% |
| A.J. Ewart | 25% |
| Chad Ramey | 25% |
| Thomas Rosenmuller | 25% |
| Lanto Griffin | 25% |
| Brice Garnett | 25% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 25% |
| Seamus Power | 24% |
| Vince Whaley | 24% |
| Joel Dahmen | 23% |
| Manuel Elvira | 22% |
| Carson Young | 21% |
| Luke Clanton | 21% |
| Romain Langasque | 21% |
| David Skinns | 21% |
| Alejandro Tosti | 20% |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 20% |
| Paul Waring | 20% |
| Hayden Springer | 20% |
| Jorge Campillo | 19% |
| Tom Vaillant | 19% |
| Todd Clements | 19% |
| Harry Higgs | 19% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 19% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 18% |
| Adam Hadwin | 18% |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 18% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 17% |
| Adam Svensson | 17% |
| Ricardo Gouveia | 17% |
| Davis Bryant | 17% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 17% |
| Davis Chatfield | 16% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 16% |
| Dylan Wu | 15% |
| Tyler Duncan | 15% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 15% |
| Marcus Kinhult | 15% |
| Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 15% |
| Trace Crowe | 14% |
| S.Y. Noh | 14% |
| Aaron Wise | 14% |
| Thriston Lawrence | 14% |
| Danny Willett | 14% |
| Brandon Stone | 14% |
| David Ravetto | 14% |
| Brandon Robinson-Thompson | 14% |
| Paul Peterson | 14% |
| Nick Hardy | 14% |
| Taylor Montgomery | 14% |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | 14% |
| Danny Walker | 14% |
| Cameron Champ | 13% |
| Kensei Hirata | 13% |
| Nick Dunlap | 13% |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 13% |
| Joel Girrbach | 13% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 13% |
| Frederik Schott | 12% |
| Sean Crocker | 12% |
| Fabian Gomez | 12% |
| Justin Lower | 12% |
| Henry Lebioda | 12% |
| Jens Dantorp | 12% |
| Nacho Elvira | 11% |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 11% |
| Ben Martin | 11% |
| John Vanderlaan | 11% |
| Marcel Schneider | 11% |
| Marcus Helligkilde | 11% |
| Peter Malnati | 11% |
| Luke List | 11% |
| Jeremy Paul | 9% |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 9% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 8% |
| Richie Ramsay | 7% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 1% |
| Mark Hubbard | 1% |
Market context
PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 — current market-implied probability: 48%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If fin…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →