Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CA Central Córdoba O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CA Central Córdoba (-1.5) | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5) | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba (-2.5) | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA Central Córdoba 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 100%. More markets for the Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for August 3 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
We track CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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