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CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

CA San Telmo (-1.5) 0% CA Defensores de Belgrano (-1.5) 0% CA San Telmo (-2.5) 0% CA Defensores de Belgrano (-2.5) 0% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $186K Closes: 19 Oct 2026
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CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CA San Telmo (-1.5)0%
CA Defensores de Belgrano (-1.5)0%
CA San Telmo (-2.5)0%
CA Defensores de Belgrano (-2.5)0%
CA San Telmo (-3.5)0%
CA Defensores de Belgrano (-3.5)0%
CA San Telmo (-4.5)0%
CA Defensores de Belgrano (-4.5)0%
CA San Telmo (-5.5)0%
CA Defensores de Belgrano (-5.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 0.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 1.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 2.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 3.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 4.50%
CA San Telmo O/U 5.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 0.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 1.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 2.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 3.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 4.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano O/U 5.50%
CA San Telmo 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CA San Telmo 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CA San Telmo 1st Half O/U 2.50%
CA San Telmo 1st Half O/U 3.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano 1st Half O/U 2.50%
CA Defensores de Belgrano 1st Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to ca san telmo vs. ca defensores de belgrano - more markets. More markets for the Primera Nacional game, scheduled for October 17 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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