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US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $176K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel Schwaerzler Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: andrea guerrieri vs joel schwaerzler. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Joel Schwaerzler in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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