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Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel

Five-platform snapshot of "Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner 100% Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 75% Completed Match 50% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $200K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner100%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.575%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.550%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.530%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel28%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner0%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open, qualification: carlos sanchez jover vs taro daniel. This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Taro Daniel in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

We track Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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