Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.5 | 99% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith | 64% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of us open, qualification atp: jerome kym vs colton smith. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jerome Kym and Colton Smith in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page reviews US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith on Who Will Win 2026
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