Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, croatia open: dusan lajovic vs luca van assche stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Dusan Lajovic and Luca Van Assche in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche on Who Will Win 2026
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