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Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $357K Liquidity: $140K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 10.568%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 Winner51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 8.548%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 3.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 36.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 4.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 38.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 40.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 10.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: jiri lehecka vs alex molcan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alex Molcan in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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