Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A tennis match between Andrej Nedic and David Jorda Sanchis is scheduled for the Istanbul event on 23 May 2026, with the settlement window closing on 30 May. The current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for Nedic, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in Sanchis or minimal trading activity on this particular fixture. Given the settlement window extends a full week beyond the scheduled date, there is substantial room for fixture delays, walkovers, or retirements to influence resolution.

Nedic, a Serbian player competing primarily on the ATP Challenger circuit, has limited recent history against top-ranked opponents. Sanchis, a Spanish competitor, similarly operates in the lower professional tiers where match outcomes depend heavily on surface preference, recent form, and head-to-head records. The 0% reading on Nedic reflects either a substantial skill gap favourable to Sanchis or, more likely, a thin market with few positions established. Historical patterns in low-profile Challenger matches show that crowd probabilities at extreme ends often shift sharply once trading begins, particularly when one player has recent momentum or surface-specific advantages.

Traders should monitor official ATP Challenger announcements regarding draw confirmations and any player withdrawals in the week preceding the match. Istanbul's hard court surface and May timing typically favour players with strong baseline consistency. Recent tournament results for both players—particularly performances at comparable events in April and early May—will clarify whether the current 0% reflects genuine form disparity or simply market inattention. Fixture cancellations or delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating asymmetric risk for positions taken at current extremes.

Methodology

This page reviews Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.