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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Five-platform snapshot of "Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo 70% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 68% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 65% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 62% Volume: $299K Liquidity: $321K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo70%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.568%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.565%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner62%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.556%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.549%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.544%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.543%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of swedish open: andrey rublev vs alejandro tabilo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Tabilo in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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