Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to estoril open: stan wawrinka vs roman andres burruchaga. This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wa…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga on Who Will Win 2026
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