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Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe - More Markets

Live odds for "Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe - More Markets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Avaí FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $82K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Avaí FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Avaí FC O/U 0.5100%
Avaí FC O/U 1.5100%
Avaí FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Avaí FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)0%
Avaí FC (-2.5)0%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Avaí FC O/U 2.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 0.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 1.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.50%
Avaí FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Avaí FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to avaí fc vs. clube náutico capibaribe - more markets. More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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