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Michigan vs. Minnesota

Live odds for "Michigan vs. Minnesota" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $949K Liquidity: $414K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Michigan vs. Minnesota

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
Michigan 1H O/U 11.5100%
Michigan 1H O/U 13.5100%
Minnesota 2H O/U 12.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Pick-Six Scored51%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 11.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 13.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 15.550%
Minnesota 2H O/U 14.550%
Minnesota 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Minnesota O/U 2.550%
Michigan O/U 2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Minnesota O/U 1.550%
Game Goes to Overtime48%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.548%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.548%
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.548%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -7.51%
Spread -0.51%
Spread -6.51%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -20.51%
O/U 37.51%
O/U 39.51%
O/U 49.51%
O/U 51.51%
O/U 55.51%
O/U 57.51%
O/U 61.51%
O/U 63.51%
O/U 67.51%
O/U 69.51%
O/U 71.51%
O/U 73.51%
O/U 75.51%
Michigan O/U 20.51%
Michigan O/U 23.51%
Michigan O/U 26.51%
Michigan O/U 32.51%
Minnesota O/U 23.51%
Minnesota O/U 26.51%
Minnesota O/U 29.51%
Minnesota O/U 32.51%
Minnesota O/U 35.51%
Michigan vs. Minnesota0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 65.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Michigan O/U 29.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 15.50%
Minnesota 1H O/U 12.50%
Minnesota 1H O/U 14.50%
Minnesota 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
1H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, michigan vs. minnesota stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Michigan vs. Minnesota".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $949K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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