Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| Clemson O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Gideon Davidson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Demon June: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Benjamin Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Christian Bentancur: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Tyler Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Clemson O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Clemson O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Clemson O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Clemson O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Jarvis Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Olsen Patt-Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| C.J. Sadler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina vs. Clemson | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| T.J. Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tait Reynolds: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chris Johnson Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Bryant Wesco Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jelani Thurman: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jordan Shipp: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jaylen McGill: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Billy Edwards Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Humphrey: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Trech Kekahuna: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Shamar Easter: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Juju Preston: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Clemson O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
Market context
North Carolina vs. Clemson. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-19T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $992K.
Methodology
This page reviews North Carolina vs. Clemson across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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