Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Notre Dame vs. BYU | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| Notre Dame O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Notre Dame O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 66% |
| O/U 41.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 45.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| BYU 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| BYU 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| BYU O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| BYU 1H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 47% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 47% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 43% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| Spread -14.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| BYU O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 24% |
| Spread -0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| O/U 63.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 79% chance of notre dame vs. byu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and BYU, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $216K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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