Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green | 56% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| O/U 32.5 | 36% |
| O/U 38.5 | 35% |
| O/U 40.5 | 35% |
| O/U 44.5 | 35% |
| Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| South Florida O/U 27.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| South Florida O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| South Florida O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 36.5 | 14% |
| Bowling Green O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -11.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -35.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -23.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| O/U 42.5 | 4% |
| O/U 48.5 | 4% |
| O/U 52.5 | 4% |
| O/U 56.5 | 4% |
| O/U 60.5 | 4% |
| O/U 66.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| O/U 54.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, south florida vs. bowling green stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Bowling Green, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $404K.
Methodology
This page reviews South Florida vs. Bowling Green across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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