Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Beijing Guoan and Henan FC meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May, with the match kicking off at 7:35 AM ET. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market is either illiquid, awaiting clarification on what "more markets" entails, or reflecting extremely low conviction on a secondary outcome within this fixture.
Beijing Guoan has historically occupied a stronger competitive position within the Super League, though their recent form and squad depth relative to Henan FC will determine the baseline expectation. Comparable fixtures between established Beijing sides and provincial challengers have typically favoured the capital club, but the 0% reading is unusually extreme and warrants scepticism. Such probabilities often signal either a definitional issue—where traders are uncertain what the market is actually measuring—or genuine illiquidity that creates space for informed positioning once the terms clarify.
The settlement window closes on 23 May at 11:35 AM ET, leaving minimal time between kickoff and resolution. Traders should monitor team news in the days preceding the match: squad availability, injury updates, and any last-minute tactical shifts from either side. Chinese Super League fixtures occasionally face scheduling adjustments or postponements due to administrative changes, so confirmation of the fixture's status closer to the date is essential. Once clarity emerges on what secondary outcomes this "more markets" cluster covers—whether additional betting lines, goal-related props, or player performance metrics—the 0% reading may shift sharply as liquidity enters the market.
Methodology
This page reviews Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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