Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
54% | 46% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
54% | 46% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 54% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
Market context
This single-elimination Counter-Strike 2 match pits Europe’s FaZe Clan against China’s TYLOO in the XSE Pro League Guangzhou Group Stage, scheduled for 3:00AM ET on 1 July 2026. The crowd currently assigns a 56% probability to FaZe winning, implying them as the modest favourite despite TYLOO’s recent resilience in regional qualifiers.
Historically, FaZe and TYLOO have met five times in CS2, with FaZe securing four victories and TYLOO one, as recorded in their head-to-head ledger [4]. In comparable Group Stage BO1s from the 2025 ESL Pro League, teams ranked 16–21 (like FaZe, currently ranked 20 [1]) won 62% of matches against 20–25-ranked opponents, suggesting the 56% implied probability may slightly undervalue FaZe’s structural advantage. However, TYLOO’s lone win came in a high-pressure ESL qualifier, indicating they can exploit contrarian angles when FaZe underprepares for Asian tactical styles.
Traders should monitor pre-match lineup announcements, as FaZe’s recent roster instability could shift value toward TYLOO if a substitute is confirmed [2]. The match’s settlement hinges on completion before 7 days post-scheduled date, with forfeiture or disqualification triggering a 50-50 resolution. Recent coverage from Dust2.us notes FaZe’s world ranking at 21, slightly below their historical average, which may signal a value spot for TYLOO if the market overweights FaZe’s name recognition [2]. No major schedule changes have been announced as of 8 AM UTC today, but any delay beyond 10 July would nullify the market.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League… on Who Will Win 2026
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