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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Lavked (+3.5) 100% Volume: $329K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Lavked (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Lavked (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-6.5) vs Lavked (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-6.5) vs Lavked (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Lavked and Just Players in the European Pro League Series 8 Group A, initially scheduled for July 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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