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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $96K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: ex-mana esports vs inner circle academy (bo3) - nodwin clutch series play-in group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between ex-MANA eSports and Inner Circle Academy in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 15…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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