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Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) 53% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $559K Liquidity: $416K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)53%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Match Winner32%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)27%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.525%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NIP and Heroic in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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