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Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

O/U 2.5 Games 52% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 2 Winner 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $393K Liquidity: $318K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Winner50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-12.5) vs NIP (+12.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)38%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.534%
Match Winner33%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)27%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)25%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)5%
Map 1 Winner3%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 52% probability to counter-strike: nip vs pain (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between NIP and paiN in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 26 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP w…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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