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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5) 100% Volume: $129K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-12.5) vs SAW (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: sinners vs saw (bo3) - draculan playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Sinners and SAW in the DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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