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Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Volume: $183K Liquidity: $239K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: level up vs team aion (bo3) - epl masters play-in group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Team AION in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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