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Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 95% Argentina O/U 0.5 83% Argentina O/U 1.5 83% Argentina (-1.5) 82% Volume: $614K Liquidity: $74K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Argentina O/U 0.583%
Argentina O/U 1.583%
Argentina (-1.5)82%
O/U 1.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 1.572%
Argentina O/U 2.569%
2nd Half O/U 2.569%
O/U 2.565%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.564%
Argentina (-2.5)62%
Benin O/U 0.560%
Argentina O/U 3.553%
Benin (-3.5)50%
Benin (-4.5)50%
Benin (-5.5)50%
Benin 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Benin 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Benin 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Benin 1st Half O/U 3.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Benin 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Benin 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Benin 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Benin 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
1st Half O/U 0.547%
2nd Half O/U 3.545%
O/U 3.540%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.539%
Argentina O/U 4.534%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 2.534%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 3.534%
Argentina (-3.5)33%
Both Teams to Score31%
Argentina (-4.5)27%
2nd Half O/U 4.525%
Argentina (-5.5)24%
O/U 4.523%
Benin O/U 1.523%
Argentina O/U 5.521%
Benin O/U 2.521%
Benin O/U 3.521%
Benin O/U 4.521%
Benin O/U 5.521%
O/U 6.518%
1st Half O/U 1.518%
1st Half O/U 3.514%
O/U 5.511%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
Both Teams to Score in First Half7%
O/U 7.56%
O/U 8.55%
1st Half O/U 4.53%
Benin (-1.5)2%
Benin (-2.5)2%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to argentina vs. benin - more markets. More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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