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Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 96% Japan O/U 0.5 92% O/U 1.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 80% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $397K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Japan O/U 0.592%
O/U 1.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.580%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.573%
Japan O/U 1.570%
Japan 1st Half O/U 0.567%
O/U 2.556%
Japan (-1.5)53%
2nd Half O/U 3.551%
Venezuela (-4.5)50%
Venezuela (-5.5)50%
Venezuela O/U 4.549%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 2.549%
2nd Half O/U 1.548%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 1.548%
Venezuela O/U 3.548%
Japan 1st Half O/U 3.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Venezuela O/U 0.546%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 2.543%
Both Teams to Score42%
Japan O/U 2.542%
Japan (-5.5)41%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.537%
O/U 3.534%
Japan (-2.5)30%
Japan 1st Half O/U 1.528%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 0.528%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 0.523%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Japan O/U 3.520%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half19%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 3.519%
O/U 4.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Japan (-3.5)14%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 2.514%
Venezuela O/U 1.513%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 3.512%
1st Half O/U 3.59%
1st Half O/U 4.59%
Japan 1st Half O/U 2.59%
Japan O/U 4.58%
O/U 5.57%
Japan (-4.5)5%
O/U 6.53%
Japan O/U 5.53%
Venezuela (-1.5)2%
Venezuela O/U 2.52%
Venezuela O/U 5.52%
O/U 7.51%
Venezuela (-2.5)0%
Venezuela (-3.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to japan vs. venezuela - more markets. More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 28 at 6:25 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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