Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Mexico (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ghana (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Mexico (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ghana (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Mexico and Ghana are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 22 May 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market is currently priced at 100% YES, implying certainty that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. This reflects the standard practice of major sportsbooks expanding their market offerings for high-profile international matches, particularly those involving nations with substantial betting populations in North America and West Africa.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between established confederations—CONCACAF and CAF—routinely attract extended market coverage. Mexico's consistent presence in major tournaments and Ghana's status as a regional powerhouse mean both sides draw significant wagering interest. However, the 100% probability leaves no room for the scenario where a sportsbook opts for minimal markets due to fixture timing, squad rotation, or commercial prioritisation of concurrent fixtures. Comparable friendlies in the May 2026 window have seen variable market depth depending on operator strategy and regulatory environment.
The settlement window closes 22 May at 02:00 UTC, giving traders roughly 48 hours post-kickoff for confirmation. Key dependencies include whether the match proceeds as scheduled—postponements or cancellations would alter market availability calculations—and the commercial decisions of major operators during the post-World Cup 2026 period. Fixture confirmation and team sheet announcements in the week preceding the match will signal operator commitment levels. Any late-stage squad changes or venue alterations could influence whether secondary markets justify the operational cost.
Methodology
This page reviews Mexico vs. Ghana - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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