Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Sweden Corners: O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| France Corners: O/U 4.5 | 77% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 68% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 67% |
| France Corners: O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Sweden Corners: O/U 2.5 | 64% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 59% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| Sweden Corners: O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| France Corners: O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| France Corners: O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 36% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 26% |
Market context
The France vs. Sweden - Total Corners prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews France vs. Sweden - Total Corners across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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