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IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

Live odds for "IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

27% YES 73% NO Volume: $320K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 16 Jun 2026
Trade on Who Will Win 2026 →
IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win 2026 Pick
polygram.ink
 27% 73% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 27% 73% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win 2026 →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win 2026.

Active sub-markets

IR Iran (-1.5)27% IR Iran74% New Zealand
New Zealand (-1.5)6% New Zealand95% IR Iran
IR Iran (-2.5)11% IR Iran90% New Zealand
New Zealand (-2.5)1% New Zealand99% IR Iran
O/U 0.589% Over12% Under
O/U 1.566% Over35% Under

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 27% YES probability for IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win 2026 is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win 2026?
Zero. Who Will Win 2026 routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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