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Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Over 25% Under 76% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 25 Jun 2026
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Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win 2026 Pick
polygram.ink
 25% 75% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 25% 75% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win 2026 →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win 2026.

Active sub-markets

O/U 4.525% Over76% Under
O/U 0.597% Over3% Under
Tunisia (-1.5)1% Tunisia99% Netherlands
Tunisia (-2.5)0% Tunisia100% Netherlands
O/U 2.567% Over34% Under
Both Teams to Score36% YES65% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 25% probability to tunisia vs. netherlands - more markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win 2026?
Zero. Who Will Win 2026 routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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