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Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 38.5 51% Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 51% Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-2.5 51% Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda 51% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $723K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 38.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-2.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda51%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Completed Match0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to wimbledon atp: mattia bellucci vs zachary svajda. This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Zachary Svajda in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Belluc…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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