Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, croatia open: flavio cobolli vs roman andres burruchaga stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
We track Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga on Who Will Win 2026
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