Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to canadian open, qualification: marcos giron vs pablo llamas ruiz. This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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