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Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo

Five-platform snapshot of "Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 Winner 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $233K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 Winner100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo78%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 21.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 22.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 Winner0%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to brownsburg: stefan kozlov vs aidan mayo. This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Kozlov and Aidan Mayo in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Kozlov' if St…

Methodology

We track Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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