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US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 79% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.5 65% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas 62% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.5 60% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $331K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.579%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.565%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas62%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.560%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 36.559%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 Winner57%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 Winner57%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner56%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 38.554%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 40.548%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-3.547%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.546%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 10.536%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 4.528%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-2.524%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehe…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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